北京時間07月05日20時30分,美國6月非農就業報告出爐——非農就業人口大幅增加22.4萬,不過失業率升至3.7%。
數據公布之後,美元展開全線反攻,美元指數短線急漲逾50點,一舉攻克97關口,最高觸及97.45,日內漲幅達到近0.7%。
許腦濕認為,由於前瞻數據,例如小非農ADP數據的疲軟,導致了市場對於美國6月份的非美就業報告抱着極低的預期,我們甚至於可以看到美國國債市場的標價已經在計價美聯儲7月份利率會議上會降息50個基點的可能性。不過在非農就業數據公布之後,市場的預期開始出現修正,美元短期的“大幅反攻”,實際上還是在完成前一波97.77-95.839波短的確認,也就是許腦濕在0702:A股B反延續,謹防原油跳水!所談及的B浪反彈。
許腦濕在視頻直播中明確指出:美元指數的日線級別變盤窗口在於07月09日,假如在這個時間窗口之後,美元指數選擇無法突破並站穩97.00-97.20區域,那麼接下來就要做好迎接新一波美元短線跳水的準備。
據CME“美聯儲觀察”,非農公布之後,美聯儲7月降息25個基點至2.00%-2.25%的概率由74.5%上升至91%,降息50個基點的概率由25.6%下降至9%;到9月降息25個基點至2.00%-2.25%的概率由26.3%上升至32.2%,降息50個基點和75個基點的概率分別為62%和5.8%。
美國聯邦基金利率期貨顯示,美聯儲7月降息50個基點的概率跌至5月31日以來最低。
從本周的展望來看,最重要的事件莫過於美聯儲主席鮑威爾在美國國會的半年度貨幣政策報告作證此陳述,一旦顯露出任何鴿派跡象,均有可能給美元帶來沉重的打擊。美元指數目前從空間的角度已經最高觸及97.447,收盤於97.255,完全反抽到位,等待時間窗口出現之後,就可以考慮擲杯多非美了!
上個星期,我們已經完成了《六脈真言》的《道》篇,相信老師在0704:我被學員降維打擊了!一文中,所分享的白銀級,黃金級和鈀金級作業有不少啟發吧,今天老師這里也特別分享一份海外學員的作業:
How can I survive in this cruel market?(如何才能在這個殘酷的市場,活下來?)
I have been trading as part time for the last 5 years. I am winning and losing. Of course, I lost more than I earn.
Through this course, I started realise that I have made so much mistakes before.
My mistakes are below-mentioned:
1. No trading plan
2. No stop loss ( even with SL also not realistic cuz due to not in proper support or resistence )
3. No risk n reward plan.
4. Always want to be in the market, open position with market order without calculate the risks.
5. No Fundamental understanding about the market conditions.
6. Over trading with too much risk exposure.
7. My heart always not calm when my trades are in floating win or loss.
I attended a few courses before ( Mostly is for technical analysis ) and also bought some trade signals on telegram group. My trading results still not good. Because I even copy trades, people win but I still lose. I still do not put Stop Loss as mentioned. I don't have a clear consciouss why I loss.
I loss due to Risk Management. I loss money due to I open my whole account to let this cruel market to swallow my capital. I don't have the awareness about my risk exposure. Eventually it burst!
Anyway, I am still survive in this market.
I don't give up!
I still have faith in myself.
Why? Never trade with money that you can afford to lose. I acknowledged that I lost money in FX market. But I have other business income so that I can survive until today.
It is my faith that let me continue to move on. But I am not happy with myself when I lost money or hit SL for my positions.
I believe no one want to lose money in this FX market.
Even with faith, never give up, it doesn't mean will win and survive in the market!!!
Now I want to learn how to survive in the cruel FX market and make money seriously!
How? After I signed up, watched and attended online course of Teacher Xu, something changed in myself.
---> my mindset, my awareness and my consciousness is light up.
I understand how to survive in this cruel market with these points and I want to follow and practice it:
1. Never trade with capital that can not afford to lose. ( I still think it is important ) Do not borrow money to trade because it is stressful and will affect the trading emotionally.
2. Learn from the best mentor. ( Teacher Xu )
3. Empty my cup to learn from the begining again and let go the past that were wrong practiced.
4. Know my WHY in trading. I want to change my life and live better with financial freedom. I am willing to spend more time ( 4 hours a day ) and focus to make it a success. This is not a hobby.
5. Build up a right mindset of trading with a complete trading system that suit me. I let go sclaping and focus on swing trades so I do not need to keep looking at the charts.
6. Understand and live out TPP ( Theory , Practice and Psychology )
6. A clear goal in trading with objective to MAKE MONEY. I want to be a winner.
7. A Mindset for Risk Management. Let go of the gambling mindset. Must have SL for every positions.
8. Self Discipline and follow the plan
9. Write trading journal and do the trades analysis review after the trade positions closed in order to learn from the results.
10. Play the winning game of FX trading.
Thank you.
Yours truly,
Jony Leong
是不是沒看懂?沒錯,許腦濕要的就是這個效果!這樣嘛,以後我可以考慮在《六脈真言》和《點線七訣》之後,給大家上英語課。本周我們將會進行第二個篇章的學習,《技》篇,通過這次的作業點評課,相信許多學員能夠真正消化和鞏固系統課程的內容,如果你們還有沒趕上這次直播的學員,抓緊找課程顧問預約接下來的錄播課噢!直播課大概率只能等明年了!
說一下股票市場,許腦濕此前有和你們測算過理論窗口應該是在07月15日,早盤截至許腦濕發文之前,大盤呈現下跌,完全回補G20峰會吹出暖風之後的缺口,也就意味着短淺的調整可能告一段落。但是這里並不意味着你可以重新在買進去,一方面,B反的高點很難確定精確的位置,老師能夠給出的比較確定的答案曾經也給過了,9500往上,套牢盤壓力很大,另一方面,時間目前還未完全耗盡,日線趨勢暫時也未破位,所以並不能下新的結論,也就是說,現在B反結束了嗎?從當前來看,不知道,不確定。
大的原則只有一個:大概率這里仍然定以為B反,既然是B反,能不能賺到錢是次要的,防後面的大C,是重中之重!防後面的大C,是重中之重!防後面的大C,是重中之重!
更加詳細的精彩內容,請看07月05日的公開課視頻直播:
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