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许亚鑫0708:美元反抽到位,注意这个时间窗口!

文 / xumicket来源:FX168财经网

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北京时间07月05日20时30分,美国6月非农就业报告出炉——非农就业人口大幅增加22.4万,不过失业率升至3.7%。

数据公布之后,美元展开全线反攻,美元指数短线急涨逾50点,一举攻克97关口,最高触及97.45,日内涨幅达到近0.7%。

许脑湿认为,由于前瞻数据,例如小非农ADP数据的疲软,导致了市场对于美国6月份的非美就业报告抱着极低的预期,我们甚至于可以看到美国国债市场的标价已经在计价美联储7月份利率会议上会降息50个基点的可能性。不过在非农就业数据公布之后,市场的预期开始出现修正,美元短期的“大幅反攻”,实际上还是在完成前一波97.77-95.839波短的确认,也就是许脑湿在0702:A股B反延续,谨防原油跳水!所谈及的B浪反弹。

许脑湿在视频直播中明确指出:美元指数的日线级别变盘窗口在于07月09日,假如在这个时间窗口之后,美元指数选择无法突破并站稳97.00-97.20区域,那么接下来就要做好迎接新一波美元短线跳水的准备。

据CME“美联储观察”,非农公布之后,美联储7月降息25个基点至2.00%-2.25%的概率由74.5%上升至91%,降息50个基点的概率由25.6%下降至9%;到9月降息25个基点至2.00%-2.25%的概率由26.3%上升至32.2%,降息50个基点和75个基点的概率分别为62%和5.8%。

美国联邦基金利率期货显示,美联储7月降息50个基点的概率跌至5月31日以来最低。

从本周的展望来看,最重要的事件莫过于美联储主席鲍威尔在美国国会的半年度货币政策报告作证此陈述,一旦显露出任何鸽派迹象,均有可能给美元带来沉重的打击。美元指数目前从空间的角度已经最高触及97.447,收盘于97.255,完全反抽到位,等待时间窗口出现之后,就可以考虑掷杯多非美了!

上个星期,我们已经完成了《六脉真言》的《道》篇,相信老师在0704:我被学员降维打击了!一文中,所分享的白银级,黄金级和钯金级作业有不少启发吧,今天老师这里也特别分享一份海外学员的作业:

How can I survive in this cruel market?(如何才能在这个残酷的市场,活下来?)

I have been trading as part time for the last 5 years. I am winning and losing. Of course, I lost more than I earn.

Through this course, I started realise that I have made so much mistakes before.

My mistakes are below-mentioned:

1. No trading plan

2. No stop loss ( even with SL also not realistic cuz due to not in proper support or resistence )

3. No risk n reward plan.

4. Always want to be in the market, open position with market order without calculate the risks.

5. No Fundamental understanding about the market conditions.

6. Over trading with too much risk exposure.

7. My heart always not calm when my trades are in floating win or loss.

I attended a few courses before ( Mostly is for technical analysis ) and also bought some trade signals on telegram group. My trading results still not good. Because I even copy trades, people win but I still lose. I still do not put Stop Loss as mentioned. I don't have a clear consciouss why I loss.

I loss due to Risk Management. I loss money due to I open my whole account to let this cruel market to swallow my capital. I don't have the awareness about my risk exposure. Eventually it burst!

Anyway, I am still survive in this market.

I don't give up!

I still have faith in myself.

Why? Never trade with money that you can afford to lose. I acknowledged that I lost money in FX market. But I have other business income so that I can survive until today.

It is my faith that let me continue to move on. But I am not happy with myself when I lost money or hit SL for my positions.

I believe no one want to lose money in this FX market.

Even with faith, never give up, it doesn't mean will win and survive in the market!!!

Now I want to learn how to survive in the cruel FX market and make money seriously!

How? After I signed up, watched and attended online course of Teacher Xu, something changed in myself.

---> my mindset, my awareness and my consciousness is light up.

I understand how to survive in this cruel market with these points and I want to follow and practice it:

1. Never trade with capital that can not afford to lose. ( I still think it is important ) Do not borrow money to trade because it is stressful and will affect the trading emotionally.

2. Learn from the best mentor. ( Teacher Xu )

3. Empty my cup to learn from the begining again and let go the past that were wrong practiced.

4. Know my WHY in trading. I want to change my life and live better with financial freedom. I am willing to spend more time ( 4 hours a day ) and focus to make it a success. This is not a hobby.

5. Build up a right mindset of trading with a complete trading system that suit me. I let go sclaping and focus on swing trades so I do not need to keep looking at the charts.

6. Understand and live out TPP ( Theory , Practice and Psychology )

6. A clear goal in trading with objective to MAKE MONEY. I want to be a winner.

7. A Mindset for Risk Management. Let go of the gambling mindset. Must have SL for every positions.

8. Self Discipline and follow the plan

9. Write trading journal and do the trades analysis review after the trade positions closed in order to learn from the results.

10. Play the winning game of FX trading.

Thank you.

Yours truly,

Jony Leong

是不是没看懂?没错,许脑湿要的就是这个效果!这样嘛,以后我可以考虑在《六脉真言》和《点线七诀》之后,给大家上英语课。本周我们将会进行第二个篇章的学习,《技》篇,通过这次的作业点评课,相信许多学员能够真正消化和巩固系统课程的内容,如果你们还有没赶上这次直播的学员,抓紧找课程顾问预约接下来的录播课噢!直播课大概率只能等明年了!

说一下股票市场,许脑湿此前有和你们测算过理论窗口应该是在07月15日,早盘截至许脑湿发文之前,大盘呈现下跌,完全回补G20峰会吹出暖风之后的缺口,也就意味着短浅的调整可能告一段落。但是这里并不意味着你可以重新在买进去,一方面,B反的高点很难确定精确的位置,老师能够给出的比较确定的答案曾经也给过了,9500往上,套牢盘压力很大,另一方面,时间目前还未完全耗尽,日线趋势暂时也未破位,所以并不能下新的结论,也就是说,现在B反结束了吗?从当前来看,不知道,不确定。

大的原则只有一个:大概率这里仍然定以为B反,既然是B反,能不能赚到钱是次要的,防后面的大C,是重中之重!防后面的大C,是重中之重!防后面的大C,是重中之重!

更加详细的精彩内容,请看07月05日的公开课视频直播:

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以上观点仅供参考,并不构成投资建议,感谢各位一直以来的支持,欢迎大家转发、分享、评论,让我们一起成长!

许亚鑫 —态度决定一切—

  微信 | xumicket

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